Why The Polls Are Wrong
A Commentary by J. D. Longstreet
in North Carolina, we are being pummeled by pollsters. Thank God for
caller ID! All my phones -- land lines and cells -- are listed on the
government's "Do Not Call" list and have been since the day the list
became active and my area of the country was permitted to register. So
... the wife and I pay careful attention to the caller ID when the
phones ring ... especially during the crazy season (otherwise known as
the "political" season).
Like most Americans (I think)
we are fed-up with all the lying and cheating, the flagrant hypocrisy,
the condescension, the pandering, and all the, well, you know -- POLITICS!
There is no end, anymore, to the political season. We seem to just
segue from one right into another -- a seamless shift from one political
campaign to the next -- and on it goes.
So why DO I
think the polls are wrong? It's not that folks haven't made their minds
up quite yet. No, I think, for the most part, voters have decided for
whom they will cast their ballot.
No. I think there is
a battle of wills going on within the electorate at the moment. Allow
me to try to offer an example of what I think is happening -- and has
I think the evangelical Christian community will make a fine example for the purposes of this explanation ... I think.
The evangelical Christians are having a really difficult time with this election. It's not JUST
the evangelicals, but as I was reared an evangelical, I sort of know
the inner struggle they are experiencing at this point in this
particular election cycle.
Here's the thing, as they say: They are going to vote for Romney. But they cannot SAY that yet. In fact, many cannot even admit it to themselves -- yet.
Look. Voting for a Mormon is just, well, an act of last resort, an act of desperation, requiring much thought and much prayer, and then some more prayer.
Mormon faith is thought of by many in the evangelical community as a
"cult" not a true Christian church. To ask an evangelical to vote for a
member of a cult as their national leader is asking them to commit the
unthinkable. No doubt, many will feel they are committing a "sin" by
casting a ballot for Mr. Romney.
But, things have so
spiraled down in America over the past four years, that everything is
off kilter. What should be up is down, what should be down is up. Our
country is in deep trouble, the kind of trouble that leads to the total collapse of lesser nations.
For American evangelicals -- and a huge portion of non- evangelicals and non-religious Americans -- this election will be a choice of the lesser of two evils.
You may laugh, you may scoff, you many stifle a snicker here and there, but, I am telling you the truth.
What this all boils down to is personal courage.
Many voters will be forced to go against their own moral and religious
convictions to cast a vote that THEY believe is a last resort to save
America from a godless political philosophy, which the Democratic Party
and President Obama advocates. They already know they are going
to cast their ballot for Mr. Romney and the republicans because they
believe that if the democrats and Mr. Obama are allowed to continue the
path they have chosen for America, the country will morph into a godless
society and they -- and their religion -- will be, for all intents and
Many evangelicals believe that
America has had a divine mission from its founding and they have a duty
to see that America continues to shine as a beacon to the oppressed of
the world and as an example of freedom and liberty and what a free god-fearing people can do -- and become.
sense that mission in jeopardy from Mr. Obama's socialist agenda and
and they believe that the protection with which they believe God has
blessed this country will be withdrawn if the democrats are allowed to
substitute government for God.
For many evangelicals their decision has been made much easier by the Democratic National Convention this week. They
have heard the democrats proclaim that we all belong to government and
not to God. They have seen all mention of God expunged from the
Democratic Party's platform. They have seen that same platform refuse to
recognize Jerusalem as the capital of the nation of Israel. (On Wednesday both "God" and
Jerusalem as Israel's capital were put back into the party platform
under rather weird circumstances. Go here for details: http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/09/05/Democrats-change-platform-God-Israel ) They have heard speech after speech endorsing abortion and gay marriage.
Frankly, many Christians including many evangelicals, and a host of voters who are not necessarily religious, are reeling as the
democrats seem to be dropping their facade and openly laying claim to
some sort of anti-God, anti-religion, and anti-Israel philosophy they
have never seen before, at least in America -- and they are repulsed by it.
now the evangelicals must weigh what they know of Mr. Romney and the
republicans (from their convention) against what they know and have just
learned from the democrats themselves (at their convention) concerning
the direction they (Obama and the democrats) intend to take America.
As someone more than a little familiar with the Christian faith, as practiced by evangelical Christians, I
can tell you -- with no hesitation -- they will perceive Mr. Romney as
the lesser threat to their faith -- and their country -- and they will
support Mr. Romney at the polls in November.
are the Americans less likely to talk to pollsters about their vote.
These are the people less likely to hold the phone and listen to "push
polls." And finally, these are the people from whom you will hear little -- until November 6th.
Without input from THEM in the many, many, polls taken on a daily basis now, the results are, well, incomplete, to say the least.
ANYONE really gets a boost from the Democratic Party Convention in
Charlotte, it now seems clear it will be Mr. Romney and the republicans.
J. D. Longstreet