Saturday, December 22, 2012

What Happened When Guns Banned in Australia

After Australia banned and confiscated guns from their citizens, promising them safety in return for their weapons, violent crime dramatically increased:

Armed robbery +69%
Assault with guns +28%
Gun murders +19%
Home invasions +21%

Americans should never relinquish their weapons.  The right to bear arms as written in theSecond Amendment has three main purposes:
(1) to allow our citizens to protect themselves, their families, and their property
(2) to allow our citizens to protect themselves from a tyrannical government
(3) to allow our citizens to resist foreign attack/invasion

Link to video


--Against All Enemies

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Disclaimer: These opinions are solely my own, and do not reflect the opinions or official positions of any United States Government agency, organization or department.

12 comments:

  1. I'll be crossposting this at Monkey in the Middle for tomorrow.

    Every day I hear how wonderful the Australian gun program has been and this shows the truth.

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  2. These are really good statistics to prove the point that gun control doesn't work... except for the little fact that these statistics are simply incorrect.

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    Replies
    1. Enoughie--please provide links to resources that contradict the statistics given in the posted video. Thanks. AAE

      Delete
    2. I have run into sources that provide slightly different statistics, but the general trend is the same. This link provides some statistics on crime in Australia: http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=17847.

      Now, you'll notice that those figures are total increases, not increases in per capita crime. That situation is easy to rectify, though, since the Australian population has been increasing at 1.4% per year. Taking that into account we are left with increases as follows:

      Per capita sexual assault rose by 21.4%,
      Per capita assault rose by 35.1%,
      Per capita robbery rose by 4.9%,
      and overall, per capita violent crime increased by 30.3%.

      That data, which is taken from Australian government reports, is precisely what gun advocates have predicted. The data presented in this post may not match what I've seen exactly, but the gist is the same.

      Delete
    3. How about this:
      http://www.factcheck.org/2009/05/gun-control-in-australia/
      and this:
      http://www.aic.gov.au/publications/current%20series/tandi/341-360/tandi359/view%20paper.html

      "In the seven years prior to 1997, firearms were used in 24 percent of all Australian homicides. But most recently, firearms were used in only 11 percent of Australian homicides, according to figures for the 12 months ending July 1, 2007. That’s a decline of more than half since enactment of the gun law to which this message refers."

      "Recorded rates of armed robbery began to increase in the early 1990s, peaking twice in 1998 and again in 2001 (Figure 4). The second peak was followed by a marked decline to a rate of 36.5 per 100,000 in 2006. Unarmed robbery followed a similar pattern, although characterised by just one peak before dropping to 47.4 per 100,000 in 2006."

      Sexual assaults - mostly increased in the 0-14 age group, large portion is attributed to higher rate of reporting, not higher rate of actual assaut. Also, I'm not quite sure how sexual assault of a minor is in any way related to gun control.

      Also, let's consider these statistics:
      The rate of private gun ownership:
      United States - 88.82 firearms per 100 people
      Australia - 15 firearms per 100 people

      Gun violence:
      Firearm homicide rate per 100,000 pop:
      United States - 2.97
      Australia - 0.31

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    4. Thanks Jeorge. Will take a look at them. AAE

      Delete
    5. Jeorge,

      In the absence of raw data, and generally not being able to look at years earlier than 1995 at the http://www.aic.gov.au/statistics/violent%20crime/assault.html website, it appears that:

      (1) assaults doubled from 1995-2007
      (2) armed robbery doubled from 1995-2001, then stayed at or above 1995 levels except for 2005
      (3) the percentage of firearms used in homicides declined slowly over time. However, the general number of homicides remained the same (use of sharp objects slowly increased).

      The challenge then is determining cause and effect (was the increase in crime truly because of the ban on firearms?). With that being said, crime did increase steadily in the years immediately following the 1996 ban on firearms, which contradicts the belief that outlawing guns makes a population safer.

      AAE

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    6. I guess I should have said that I was not trying to express an ideological position here (my opinion on this is a bit complex). Merely to point out that the data presented was not complete or entirely correct. If we don't have data before 1995 on violent crime (when the gun ban began only in 1996) then we have nothing to compare the data to. We can't say if the trend reversed, increased, decreased, or even changed.

      At the same time, when you say that:

      "the percentage of firearms used in homicides declined slowly over time. However, the general number of homicides remained the same (use of sharp objects slowly increased)."

      That is actually incorrect. The number of homicides declined - from 344 in 2002 to 253 in 2007 - the lowest number ever recorded: (http://www.aic.gov.au/statistics/homicide.html)

      Also, the number of mass-shootings went from 13 in the decade before 1996 to zero since. After all, it is quite difficult to go on a killing spree using a "sharp object" instead of a firearm.

      Delete
  3. From what I gather, it seems like the jury is out on whether gun laws had any effect on violent crime in Australia. But overall violent crime has been steadily declining before the introduction of the buyback law in 1996, and continued to decline since. At the same time, there were no mass shootings since the law. Here's the one source:

    "Yes, gun deaths were falling before Port Arthur, but they have continued downward. There were 521 gun deaths in Australia 1996, and 290 in 2003, a 44 per cent fall, despite population growth. A key platform of the 1996 gun laws was to remove from under the nation's beds semi-automatic rifles capable of killing many people quickly. Since the Port Arthur massacre in 1996, there has been not one mass shooting incident (four or more deaths) in Australia. In the nine years before Port Arthur, there were 10 such incidents such as Strathfield, Hoddle and Queen streets, with 66 deaths, the majority caused by citizens with no criminal record."

    With one in 12 NSW adults now owning a gun, could we have the latest data on how many guns used by criminals are stolen from law-abiding citizens' homes?

    Simon Chapman Professor of Public Health, University of Sydney"

    http://www.smh.com.au/news/letters/ministers-response-to-schools-is-the-real-insult/2005/10/30/1130607146350.html?page=fullpage

    ReplyDelete
  4. Here is another article from Newsmax on the topic (2000):
    http://archive.newsmax.com/articles/?a=2000/6/26/12629


    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. From the article:

      "Twelve months after the law was implemented in 1997, there has been a 44 percent increase in armed robberies, an 8.6 percent increase in aggravated assaults, and a 3.2 percent increase in homicides. That same year in the state of Victoria, there was a 300 percent increase in homicides committed with firearms. The following year, robberies increased almost 60 percent in South Australia. By 1999, assaults had increased in New South Wales by almost 20 percent.

      Two years after the ban, there have been further increases in crime: armed robberies by 73 percent; unarmed robberies by 28 percent; kidnappings by 38 percent; assaults by 17 percent; manslaughter by 29 percent, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics."

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