I believe that the conditions are now set to "justify" US/NATO intervention in Syria should Bashar al-Assad cross a "red line."
--Against All Enemies
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- The United States has formally recognized the Syrian opposition coalition as the "legitimate representative of the Syrian people." France, Britain, Turkey and the Gulf Cooperation Council (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, et al) have also formally recognized the rebel coalition. (VOA) That makes the Assad regime illegitimate. Does that somehow make us justified to protect this "legitimate" Syrian government from attack by Assad's regime?
- The United States has designated the Al Nusra Front, a Syrian rebel group, as a terrorist organization. The Al Nusra Front is claimed to be an off-shoot of Al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI). (HotAir, The Investigative Project) As described in my piece "Al Qaeda: Tip of the Brotherhood's Spear," the existence of this group in Syria obliges the United States to become involved in the conflict to prevent its arch-enemy, Al Qaeda, from taking over the government or obtaining WMDs. This means US support for the non-al-Qaeda rebels.
- There have been multiple reports that the forces of the Assad regime are preparing to employ chemical weapons (e.g. sarin nerve agent) against the rebels. This has been identified as a "red line" that would trigger US/NATO intervention should it be crossed. (Reuters)
- Syria has reportedly fired SCUD missiles against rebels within the borders of Syria (from Damascus to the north, close to Turkey). (CNN) Should they stray into Turkey, or carry chemical weapons, that will "justify" intervention. Patriot missile systems have been deployed to Turkey that have the capability to shoot down many types of surface-to-surface missiles like the SCUD. (Foreign Policy)
--Against All Enemies
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Disclaimer: These opinions are solely my own, and do not reflect the opinions or official positions of any United States Government agency, organization or department.
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